Unwinding of discounts
Hi Graham,
My understanding of "Unwinding of Discounts" is that it's basically a fancy way of saying "Methods used to find the discount rate" but I'm not sure if that's true. Is my understanding correct or am I missing something here?
Thank you
Comments
That isn't quite what unwinding is. Here's an example:
thanks for the explanation of unwinding in simple words. Given that the effect of discounting is calculated at locked-in rates, and unwinding allows the use of distinct discount rates (for the last 2 methods), does this mean that unwinding will not necessarily cancel out the effect of discounting added back? Is this related to the deviation of actual rates vs locked in rates?
All 3 methods are using the same opening discount curve and since it is locked in, you are not changing the yield curve. The 3 methods represents different theories for the future discount rate based on the current yield curve. So from year to year, you may see different unwinding amounts, but the total unwind over the life of the liability when the LIC is extinguished should be the same for all 3 methods. This is not related to the deviation of actual rates (new yield curve) vs locked in yield curve
so when expectation hypothesis refers to term structure determined by market expectations of future interest rate changes, what does it mean by rate changes if the rate has to be locked?
well you lock the rates to calculate your unwind -> But rates can and will change through the life of the policy. The diff between the locked in rates and current rates goes into AOCI or P&L. If you don't lock in a rate, your unwind of discount will be wonky throughout the life of the policy and it will be hard to discern the actual impact of discounting and the effect from changes in interest rates
Is it correct to think of unwinding as "earning" the discount amount, similar to how we would earn premium over the life of a contract? If so, is the dollar amount "earned" in every period predetermined at inception using locked in rates?
in a way, yes - However, discounting increases revenue as it reduces the liability. So its more like an unearning of the discount as it is an IFE
Gotcha, thanks!