Difference between revisions of "OSFI.Climate"
Line 26: | Line 26: | ||
==Pop Quiz== | ==Pop Quiz== | ||
+ | |||
+ | What are the key drivers of flood risk in Canada? | ||
==Study Tips== | ==Study Tips== | ||
− | This | + | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: navajowhite;' |
+ | |- | ||
+ | || <span style="color: green;">'''Key Insight:'''</span> | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | * This is OSFI's '''first climate-sensitive prudential framework''' | ||
+ | * Two risk types to master: '''Physical risks''' (weather events) and '''Transition risks''' (low-carbon shift) | ||
+ | * Focus on the '''3 expected outcomes''' and how they drive all requirements | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || '''Study Strategy Summary''': | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | This guideline represents '''Canada's approach to climate financial risk''' - principles-based, forward-looking, and comprehensive. It's structured in two reinforcing chapters. | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Key things to focus on:''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | * 2 Climate Risk Types: '''Physical & Transition''' (plus liability risks) | ||
+ | * 3 Expected Outcomes: '''Business Model, Governance, Resilience''' | ||
+ | * 5 Governance Principles: '''Structure, Business Model, Risk Management, Scenarios, Capital''' | ||
+ | * 6 Disclosure Principles: '''Relevant, Specific, Clear, Reliable, Appropriate, Consistent''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Estimated study time''': a few hours | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Overview: Climate Risk Framework== | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightcyan;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || 🌪️ '''Why Climate Risk Matters to Financial Institutions''' | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | Climate risks are unique because they: | ||
+ | * Manifest over '''varying time horizons''' | ||
+ | * Can '''intensify over time''' | ||
+ | * Drive traditional financial risks (credit, market, insurance, liquidity) | ||
+ | * Can threaten '''business model viability''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | Two Main Risk Categories: | ||
+ | |||
+ | 📍 '''Physical Risks''': | ||
+ | * Acute: Extreme weather events (floods, hurricanes) | ||
+ | * Chronic: Long-term shifts (sea level rise, temperature changes) | ||
+ | * Indirect: Public health impacts | ||
+ | |||
+ | 🔄 '''Transition Risks''': | ||
+ | * Policy/regulatory changes | ||
+ | * Technology advancements | ||
+ | * Market sentiment shifts | ||
+ | * Customer preference changes | ||
+ | |||
+ | ⚖️ '''Liability Risks''': | ||
+ | * Climate-related insurance claims | ||
+ | * Litigation for failure to manage climate risks | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==The 3 Expected Outcomes == | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightgreen;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || '''MEMORIZE These 3 Outcomes''' | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | 1. Business Model & Strategy | ||
+ | * Understand climate impacts | ||
+ | * Mitigate risks to business model | ||
+ | * Identify opportunities | ||
+ | |||
+ | 2. Governance & Risk Management | ||
+ | * Appropriate structures | ||
+ | * Effective practices | ||
+ | * Clear accountability | ||
+ | |||
+ | 3. Financial & Operational Resilience | ||
+ | * Withstand severe scenarios | ||
+ | * Maintain operations during disasters | ||
+ | * Adequate capital/liquidity buffers | ||
+ | |||
+ | [https://battleactsmain.ca/FC.php?selectString=**&filter=both&sortOrder=natural&colorFlag=allFlag&colorStatus=allStatus&priority=importance-high&subsetFlag=miniQuiz&prefix=OSFI&suffix=Climate§ion=all&subSection=all&examRep=all&examYear=all&examTerm=all&quizNum=1<span style="font-size: 20px; background-color: aqua; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 10px; padding: 2px 10px 2px 10px; margin: 10px;">'''mini BattleQuiz 1]'''</span> <span style="color: red;">'''You must be <u>logged in</u> or this will not work.''' </span> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Chapter 1: Governance and Risk Management== | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===The 5 Governance Principles === | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: pink;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''5 Principles''' [Hint: <span style="color: red;">'''GBRSC'''</span>] | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | ====Principle 1: Governance Structure ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Key Requirements''': | ||
+ | * Board oversight of climate risks | ||
+ | * Senior Management accountability | ||
+ | * Consider compensation linkages | ||
+ | * Clear roles and responsibilities | ||
+ | |||
+ | :{| class='wikitable' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | 💡 '''Exam Tip''': Senior Management includes CEO, CFO, CRO, CCO + executives for rating/underwriting | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | ====Principle 2: Business Model Integration ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Requirements''': | ||
+ | * Identify climate impacts on strategy | ||
+ | * Develop '''Climate Transition Plan''' | ||
+ | * Assess plan achievability under scenarios | ||
+ | * Set internal metrics/targets (e.g., GHG) | ||
+ | |||
+ | ====Principle 3: Risk Management Framework ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Integration Requirements''': | ||
+ | * Climate risks in '''Risk Appetite Framework''' | ||
+ | * Climate risks in '''ERM Framework''' | ||
+ | * Climate risks in '''Internal Control Framework''' | ||
+ | * Clear roles across business lines | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Key Process Elements''': | ||
+ | * Data collection (physical + transition) | ||
+ | * Tools and models implementation | ||
+ | * Monitoring and reporting systems | ||
+ | * Risk concentration tracking | ||
+ | |||
+ | ====Principle 4: Scenario Analysis ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | :{| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightcoral;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Unique to Climate Risk''' - Forward-looking is essential! | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Scenario Analysis Uses''': | ||
+ | * Assess strategy resilience | ||
+ | * Identify risk factors | ||
+ | * Estimate exposures/losses | ||
+ | * Test risk management adequacy | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Requirements''': | ||
+ | * Multiple plausible scenarios | ||
+ | * Various time horizons | ||
+ | * Both physical AND transition risks | ||
+ | * Understand methodologies/limitations | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''OSFI Standardized Exercises''': | ||
+ | * Mandatory periodic completion | ||
+ | * Enables peer comparison | ||
+ | * Results reported to OSFI | ||
+ | |||
+ | ====Principle 5: Capital & Liquidity ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Integration Points''': | ||
+ | * ICAAP (banks) | ||
+ | * ORSA (insurers) | ||
+ | * Liquidity stress testing | ||
+ | * Buffer adequacy assessment | ||
+ | |||
+ | [https://battleactsmain.ca/FC.php?selectString=**&filter=both&sortOrder=natural&colorFlag=allFlag&colorStatus=allStatus&priority=importance-high&subsetFlag=miniQuiz&prefix=OSFI&suffix=Climate§ion=all&subSection=all&examRep=all&examYear=all&examTerm=all&quizNum=2<span style="font-size: 20px; background-color: aqua; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 10px; padding: 2px 10px 2px 10px; margin: 10px;">'''mini BattleQuiz 2]'''</span> <span style="color: red;">'''You must be <u>logged in</u> or this will not work.''' </span> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Chapter 2: Climate-Related Financial Disclosures== | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Purpose of Disclosures === | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightyellow;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || '''Transparency drives better risk management!''' | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Who Benefits''': | ||
+ | * OSFI (prudential supervision) | ||
+ | * Depositors/policyholders | ||
+ | * Investors/analysts | ||
+ | * Public confidence | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===The 6 Disclosure Principles === | ||
+ | |||
+ | Lots of fluff here but I think it can be simplified to 6 concise points | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightgreen;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''MEMORIZE''': [Hint: <span style="color: red;">'''RSCRAC'''</span>] | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | *<span style="color: red;">R</span>elevant: Current/future impacts specific to FRFI | ||
+ | *<span style="color: red;">S</span>pecific & Comprehensive: Detailed exposure/management info | ||
+ | *<span style="color: red;">C</span>lear & Balanced: Understandable to various users | ||
+ | *<span style="color: red;">R</span>eliable & Verifiable: High-quality, neutral, traceable | ||
+ | *<span style="color: red;">A</span>ppropriate Size: Proportional to FRFI complexity | ||
+ | *<span style="color: red;">C</span>onsistent: Enable inter-period comparisons | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Disclosure Content (4 Categories) === | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightblue;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! Category !! Key Elements !! Implementation | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Governance''' || Board oversight, Management roles || 2024/2025 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Strategy''' || Risks/opportunities, Business model impacts, Transition plan || 2024/2025 (Plan TBD) | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Risk Management''' || Process integration, Scenario analysis use || 2024/2025 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Metrics & Targets''' || Climate metrics, GHG emissions, Progress tracking || Phased 2024-2029 | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | [https://battleactsmain.ca/FC.php?selectString=**&filter=both&sortOrder=natural&colorFlag=allFlag&colorStatus=allStatus&priority=importance-high&subsetFlag=miniQuiz&prefix=OSFI&suffix=Climate§ion=all&subSection=all&examRep=all&examYear=all&examTerm=all&quizNum=3<span style="font-size: 20px; background-color: aqua; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 10px; padding: 2px 10px 2px 10px; margin: 10px;">'''mini BattleQuiz 3]'''</span> <span style="color: red;">'''You must be <u>logged in</u> or this will not work.''' </span> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==GHG Emissions Requirements == | ||
+ | |||
+ | There's a lot of material in the annex, which you can read. I believe everything but the GHG emissions are unique to this paper and I'll write up more on them below. | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Scope 1 & 2 (Implemented First)=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Requirements''': | ||
+ | * Separate disclosure (Scope 1 & location-based Scope 2) | ||
+ | * Absolute gross emissions | ||
+ | * Measurement approach disclosure | ||
+ | * GHG Protocol or comparable standard | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Scope 3 (Delayed to 2028)=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Complex Requirements''': | ||
+ | * All 15 categories considered | ||
+ | * Category 15 mandatory (Investments) | ||
+ | * Separate reporting: | ||
+ | * Financed emissions (loans/investments) | ||
+ | * AUM emissions (asset management) | ||
+ | * Insurance-associated emissions (P&C) | ||
+ | |||
+ | :{| class='wikitable' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | 💡 '''Don't combine''' financed, AUM, and insurance emissions! | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Key Definitions == | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightblue;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! Term !! Definition !! Exam Focus | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Physical Risk''' || Financial risk from climate events || Acute vs. Chronic | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Transition Risk''' || Risk from low-GHG transition || Policy, tech, market | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Climate Transition Plan''' || Guide for managing climate risks || Now mandatory! | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''D-SIBs''' || 6 largest Canadian banks || Earlier implementation | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''IAIGs''' || 4 largest insurers || Sun Life, Manulife, Canada Life, Intact | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Category 15''' || Investment emissions || Includes financed, AUM, insurance | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Annex Highlights == | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Annex 1-1: Related OSFI Guidance=== | ||
+ | * Corporate Governance | ||
+ | * Stress Testing (E-18) | ||
+ | * ORSA/ICAAP (E-19) | ||
+ | * Third-Party Risk (B-10) | ||
+ | * Model Risk (E-23) | ||
+ | * Operational Risk (E-21) | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Annex 1-2: Transmission Channels=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! Risk Event !! Impact Type !! Example | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | Physical damage || Credit risk || Higher LGD on damaged collateral | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | Regulation change || Transition risk || Stranded assets | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | Climate litigation || Liability risk || Board legal action | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | [https://battleactsmain.ca/FC.php?selectString=**&filter=both&sortOrder=natural&colorFlag=allFlag&colorStatus=allStatus&priority=importance-high&subsetFlag=miniQuiz&prefix=OSFI&suffix=Climate§ion=all&subSection=all&examRep=all&examYear=all&examTerm=all&quizNum=4<span style="font-size: 20px; background-color: aqua; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 10px; padding: 2px 10px 2px 10px; margin: 10px;">'''mini BattleQuiz 4]'''</span> <span style="color: red;">'''You must be <u>logged in</u> or this will not work.''' </span> | ||
+ | |||
+ | [https://battleactsmain.ca/FC.php?selectString=**&filter=both&sortOrder=natural&colorFlag=allFlag&colorStatus=allStatus&priority=importance-high&subsetFlag=miniQuiz&prefix=OSFI&suffix=Climate§ion=all&subSection=all&examRep=all&examYear=all&examTerm=all&quizNum=all<span style="font-size: 20px; background-color: lightgreen; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 10px; padding: 2px 10px 2px 10px; margin: 10px;">'''Full BattleQuiz]'''</span> <span style="color: red;">'''You must be <u>logged in</u> or this will not work.''' </span> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Practice Questions == | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Conceptual Questions: | ||
+ | :: What are the 3 expected outcomes OSFI wants FRFIs to achieve? | ||
+ | :: How do physical and transition risks transmit to traditional financial risks? | ||
+ | :: What must a Climate Transition Plan include? | ||
+ | :: Why are climate scenarios essential (vs. historical data)? | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Disclosure Questions: | ||
+ | :: When must D-SIBs start disclosing Scope 1 & 2 emissions? | ||
+ | :: What are the 6 disclosure principles? | ||
+ | :: How should Category 15 emissions be reported? | ||
+ | |||
+ | == Practice Questions Answer Key == | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Conceptual Questions''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Q: What are the 3 expected outcomes OSFI wants FRFIs to achieve?''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightgreen;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || '''Answer: The 3 Expected Outcomes''' | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | 1. '''Business Model & Strategy''' 📈 | ||
+ | * The FRFI understands and mitigates against potential impacts of climate-related risks to its business model and strategy | ||
+ | |||
+ | 2. '''Governance & Risk Management''' 🛡️ | ||
+ | * The FRFI has appropriate governance and risk management practices to manage identified climate-related risks | ||
+ | |||
+ | 3. '''Financial & Operational Resilience''' 💪 | ||
+ | * The FRFI remains financially resilient through severe, yet plausible, climate risk scenarios, and operationally resilient through disruption due to climate-related disasters | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Q: How do physical and transition risks transmit to traditional financial risks?''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightblue;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! Risk Type !! Transmission Channel !! Impact | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Credit Risk''' || Physical damage to collateral || Higher loan-to-value and loss given default (LGD) | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Market Risk''' || Perception of heightened risk || Mark-to-market investment/trading losses | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Insurance Risk''' || Increased weather-related claims || Higher insurance losses and reinsurance costs | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Liquidity Risk''' || GHG-intensive portfolios || Diminished funding demand, challenges rolling over debt | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Operational Risk''' || Physical damage to premises || Business disruption and operational losses | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Q: What must a Climate Transition Plan include?''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightyellow;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || '''Climate Transition Plan Requirements''' | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | The Climate Transition Plan must: | ||
+ | * ✓ Guide FRFI's actions to manage '''increasing physical risks''' from climate change | ||
+ | * ✓ Address risks associated with '''transition to low-GHG economy''' | ||
+ | * ✓ '''Align with business plan and strategy''' | ||
+ | * ✓ Include '''assessment of achievability''' under different climate scenarios | ||
+ | * ✓ Specify how '''progress will be measured''' (e.g., internal metrics and targets like GHG emissions) | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Q: Why are climate scenarios essential (vs. historical data)?''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: pink;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || '''Why Forward-Looking Scenarios Are Critical''' | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | Climate scenarios are essential because: | ||
+ | * 🚫 Historical data is '''not predictive''' for climate risks | ||
+ | * ⏰ Climate risks manifest over '''long time horizons''' that exceed historical data | ||
+ | * 📈 Relationships are '''non-linear''' with potential tipping points | ||
+ | * 🌍 Multiple '''plausible futures''' exist that cannot be extrapolated from past | ||
+ | * 🆕 Climate change represents '''unprecedented shifts''' requiring forward-looking analysis | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''📊 Disclosure Questions''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Q: When must D-SIBs start disclosing Scope 1 & 2 emissions?''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightcoral;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || '''Answer: Fiscal year-end 2024''' | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Implementation: '''FY-end 2024''' | ||
+ | * Disclosure deadline: '''180 days after fiscal year-end''' | ||
+ | * Applies to: D-SIBs and IAIGs headquartered in Canada | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Q: What are the 6 disclosure principles?''' | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightgreen;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || '''The 6 Disclosure Principles - RSCRAC''' | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | 1. '''<span style="color: red;">R</span>elevant''' 🎯 | ||
+ | * Information specific to current/future climate impacts on the FRFI | ||
+ | |||
+ | 2. '''<span style="color: red;">S</span>pecific & Comprehensive''' 📋 | ||
+ | * Detailed exposure and risk management information | ||
+ | |||
+ | 3. '''<span style="color: red;">C</span>lear & Balanced''' 💡 | ||
+ | * Understandable to range of users, appropriate mix of qualitative/quantitative | ||
− | ''' | + | 4. '''<span style="color: red;">R</span>eliable & Verifiable''' ✓ |
+ | * High-quality, neutral, traceable information | ||
− | = | + | 5. '''<span style="color: red;">A</span>ppropriate (Size)''' 📏 |
+ | * Proportional to FRFI's size, nature, and complexity | ||
− | + | 6. '''<span style="color: red;">C</span>onsistent''' 🔄 | |
+ | * Enable meaningful inter-period comparisons | ||
− | + | '''Q: How should Category 15 emissions be reported?''' | |
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightyellow;' | ||
|- | |- | ||
− | + | || ⚠️ '''CRITICAL: Report Separately - Never Combine!''' | |
+ | |} | ||
+ | {| class='wikitable' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! Emission Type !! Description !! Implementation Date | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | '''Financed emissions''' || Loans and investments || 2028 | ||
|- | |- | ||
− | || | + | | '''AUM emissions''' || Assets under management<br/>• Breakdown by Scope 1, 2, 3<br/>• Include $ amount of AUM<br/>• % of total AUM included || 2029 |
− | || | + | |- |
− | || | + | | '''Insurance-associated emissions''' || P&C underwriting portfolios || 2028 |
− | || | + | |} |
− | | | ||
+ | == Quick Reference Summary== | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: lightcyan;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! Topic !! Key Point !! Remember | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | 3 Outcomes || Business/Governance/Resilience || Foundation of guideline | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | Risk Transmission || Climate → Traditional risks || Through multiple channels | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | D-SIBs Timeline || FY 2024 + 180 days || Earlier implementation | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | Disclosure Principles || RSCRAC (6 principles) || Guides quality disclosures | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | Major Delays || 3-4 year delays || Scope 3, Financed, Industry metrics | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Common Pitfalls == | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| class='wikitable' style='background-color: mistyrose;' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | || ⚠️ '''Avoid These Mistakes!''' | ||
|} | |} | ||
− | == | + | * Confusing risk types - Physical ≠ Transition ≠ Liability |
− | + | * Combining emissions - Keep financed/AUM/insurance separate | |
+ | * Ignoring proportionality - Requirements scale with FRFI size | ||
+ | * Overlooking integration - Climate risk affects ALL risk types | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Final Exam Strategy== | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''High-Probability Topics''': | ||
+ | * The 3 expected outcomes (conceptual foundation) | ||
+ | * Physical vs. Transition risks (with examples) | ||
+ | * The 5 governance principles | ||
+ | * The 6 disclosure principles | ||
+ | * Implementation timeline (especially delays) | ||
+ | * GHG emissions scopes and Category 15 | ||
+ | * Climate Transition Plan requirements | ||
+ | |||
+ | '''Remember''': This is OSFI's first climate-sensitive prudential framework - expect questions on WHY it's needed and HOW it differs from traditional risk management | ||
==POP QUIZ ANSWERS== | ==POP QUIZ ANSWERS== | ||
+ | |||
+ | Population growth, urban development and climate change |
Revision as of 13:40, 25 July 2025
NEW for 2025-Fall:
|
Reading: “Climate Risk Management,” March 2023.
Author: OSFI (Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions Canada)
[insert linkForum]
BA Quick-Summary: title
info
info |
Contents
- 1 Pop Quiz
- 2 Study Tips
- 3 Overview: Climate Risk Framework
- 4 The 3 Expected Outcomes
- 5 Chapter 1: Governance and Risk Management
- 6 Chapter 2: Climate-Related Financial Disclosures
- 7 GHG Emissions Requirements
- 8 Key Definitions
- 9 Annex Highlights
- 10 Practice Questions
- 11 Practice Questions Answer Key
- 12 Quick Reference Summary
- 13 Common Pitfalls
- 14 Final Exam Strategy
- 15 POP QUIZ ANSWERS
Pop Quiz
What are the key drivers of flood risk in Canada?
Study Tips
Key Insight: |
- This is OSFI's first climate-sensitive prudential framework
- Two risk types to master: Physical risks (weather events) and Transition risks (low-carbon shift)
- Focus on the 3 expected outcomes and how they drive all requirements
Study Strategy Summary: |
This guideline represents Canada's approach to climate financial risk - principles-based, forward-looking, and comprehensive. It's structured in two reinforcing chapters.
Key things to focus on:
- 2 Climate Risk Types: Physical & Transition (plus liability risks)
- 3 Expected Outcomes: Business Model, Governance, Resilience
- 5 Governance Principles: Structure, Business Model, Risk Management, Scenarios, Capital
- 6 Disclosure Principles: Relevant, Specific, Clear, Reliable, Appropriate, Consistent
Estimated study time: a few hours
Overview: Climate Risk Framework
🌪️ Why Climate Risk Matters to Financial Institutions |
Climate risks are unique because they:
- Manifest over varying time horizons
- Can intensify over time
- Drive traditional financial risks (credit, market, insurance, liquidity)
- Can threaten business model viability
Two Main Risk Categories:
📍 Physical Risks:
- Acute: Extreme weather events (floods, hurricanes)
- Chronic: Long-term shifts (sea level rise, temperature changes)
- Indirect: Public health impacts
🔄 Transition Risks:
- Policy/regulatory changes
- Technology advancements
- Market sentiment shifts
- Customer preference changes
⚖️ Liability Risks:
- Climate-related insurance claims
- Litigation for failure to manage climate risks
The 3 Expected Outcomes
MEMORIZE These 3 Outcomes |
1. Business Model & Strategy
* Understand climate impacts * Mitigate risks to business model * Identify opportunities
2. Governance & Risk Management
* Appropriate structures * Effective practices * Clear accountability
3. Financial & Operational Resilience
* Withstand severe scenarios * Maintain operations during disasters * Adequate capital/liquidity buffers
mini BattleQuiz 1 You must be logged in or this will not work.
Chapter 1: Governance and Risk Management
The 5 Governance Principles
5 Principles [Hint: GBRSC] |
Principle 1: Governance Structure
Key Requirements:
- Board oversight of climate risks
- Senior Management accountability
- Consider compensation linkages
- Clear roles and responsibilities
💡 Exam Tip: Senior Management includes CEO, CFO, CRO, CCO + executives for rating/underwriting
Principle 2: Business Model Integration
Requirements:
- Identify climate impacts on strategy
- Develop Climate Transition Plan
- Assess plan achievability under scenarios
- Set internal metrics/targets (e.g., GHG)
Principle 3: Risk Management Framework
Integration Requirements:
- Climate risks in Risk Appetite Framework
- Climate risks in ERM Framework
- Climate risks in Internal Control Framework
- Clear roles across business lines
Key Process Elements:
- Data collection (physical + transition)
- Tools and models implementation
- Monitoring and reporting systems
- Risk concentration tracking
Principle 4: Scenario Analysis
Unique to Climate Risk - Forward-looking is essential!
Scenario Analysis Uses:
- Assess strategy resilience
- Identify risk factors
- Estimate exposures/losses
- Test risk management adequacy
Requirements:
- Multiple plausible scenarios
- Various time horizons
- Both physical AND transition risks
- Understand methodologies/limitations
OSFI Standardized Exercises:
- Mandatory periodic completion
- Enables peer comparison
- Results reported to OSFI
Principle 5: Capital & Liquidity
Integration Points:
- ICAAP (banks)
- ORSA (insurers)
- Liquidity stress testing
- Buffer adequacy assessment
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Chapter 2: Climate-Related Financial Disclosures
Purpose of Disclosures
Transparency drives better risk management! |
Who Benefits:
- OSFI (prudential supervision)
- Depositors/policyholders
- Investors/analysts
- Public confidence
The 6 Disclosure Principles
Lots of fluff here but I think it can be simplified to 6 concise points
MEMORIZE: [Hint: RSCRAC] |
- Relevant: Current/future impacts specific to FRFI
- Specific & Comprehensive: Detailed exposure/management info
- Clear & Balanced: Understandable to various users
- Reliable & Verifiable: High-quality, neutral, traceable
- Appropriate Size: Proportional to FRFI complexity
- Consistent: Enable inter-period comparisons
Disclosure Content (4 Categories)
Category | Key Elements | Implementation |
---|---|---|
Governance | Board oversight, Management roles | 2024/2025 |
Strategy | Risks/opportunities, Business model impacts, Transition plan | 2024/2025 (Plan TBD) |
Risk Management | Process integration, Scenario analysis use | 2024/2025 |
Metrics & Targets | Climate metrics, GHG emissions, Progress tracking | Phased 2024-2029 |
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GHG Emissions Requirements
There's a lot of material in the annex, which you can read. I believe everything but the GHG emissions are unique to this paper and I'll write up more on them below.
Scope 1 & 2 (Implemented First)
Requirements:
- Separate disclosure (Scope 1 & location-based Scope 2)
- Absolute gross emissions
- Measurement approach disclosure
- GHG Protocol or comparable standard
Scope 3 (Delayed to 2028)
Complex Requirements:
- All 15 categories considered
- Category 15 mandatory (Investments)
- Separate reporting:
* Financed emissions (loans/investments) * AUM emissions (asset management) * Insurance-associated emissions (P&C)
💡 Don't combine financed, AUM, and insurance emissions!
Key Definitions
Term | Definition | Exam Focus |
---|---|---|
Physical Risk | Financial risk from climate events | Acute vs. Chronic |
Transition Risk | Risk from low-GHG transition | Policy, tech, market |
Climate Transition Plan | Guide for managing climate risks | Now mandatory! |
D-SIBs | 6 largest Canadian banks | Earlier implementation |
IAIGs | 4 largest insurers | Sun Life, Manulife, Canada Life, Intact |
Category 15 | Investment emissions | Includes financed, AUM, insurance |
Annex Highlights
Annex 1-1: Related OSFI Guidance
- Corporate Governance
- Stress Testing (E-18)
- ORSA/ICAAP (E-19)
- Third-Party Risk (B-10)
- Model Risk (E-23)
- Operational Risk (E-21)
Annex 1-2: Transmission Channels
Risk Event | Impact Type | Example |
---|---|---|
Physical damage | Credit risk | Higher LGD on damaged collateral |
Regulation change | Transition risk | Stranded assets |
Climate litigation | Liability risk | Board legal action |
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Practice Questions
Conceptual Questions:
- What are the 3 expected outcomes OSFI wants FRFIs to achieve?
- How do physical and transition risks transmit to traditional financial risks?
- What must a Climate Transition Plan include?
- Why are climate scenarios essential (vs. historical data)?
Disclosure Questions:
- When must D-SIBs start disclosing Scope 1 & 2 emissions?
- What are the 6 disclosure principles?
- How should Category 15 emissions be reported?
Practice Questions Answer Key
Conceptual Questions
Q: What are the 3 expected outcomes OSFI wants FRFIs to achieve?
Answer: The 3 Expected Outcomes |
1. Business Model & Strategy 📈
* The FRFI understands and mitigates against potential impacts of climate-related risks to its business model and strategy
2. Governance & Risk Management 🛡️
* The FRFI has appropriate governance and risk management practices to manage identified climate-related risks
3. Financial & Operational Resilience 💪
* The FRFI remains financially resilient through severe, yet plausible, climate risk scenarios, and operationally resilient through disruption due to climate-related disasters
Q: How do physical and transition risks transmit to traditional financial risks?
Risk Type | Transmission Channel | Impact |
---|---|---|
Credit Risk | Physical damage to collateral | Higher loan-to-value and loss given default (LGD) |
Market Risk | Perception of heightened risk | Mark-to-market investment/trading losses |
Insurance Risk | Increased weather-related claims | Higher insurance losses and reinsurance costs |
Liquidity Risk | GHG-intensive portfolios | Diminished funding demand, challenges rolling over debt |
Operational Risk | Physical damage to premises | Business disruption and operational losses |
Q: What must a Climate Transition Plan include?
Climate Transition Plan Requirements |
The Climate Transition Plan must:
- ✓ Guide FRFI's actions to manage increasing physical risks from climate change
- ✓ Address risks associated with transition to low-GHG economy
- ✓ Align with business plan and strategy
- ✓ Include assessment of achievability under different climate scenarios
- ✓ Specify how progress will be measured (e.g., internal metrics and targets like GHG emissions)
Q: Why are climate scenarios essential (vs. historical data)?
Why Forward-Looking Scenarios Are Critical |
Climate scenarios are essential because:
- 🚫 Historical data is not predictive for climate risks
- ⏰ Climate risks manifest over long time horizons that exceed historical data
- 📈 Relationships are non-linear with potential tipping points
- 🌍 Multiple plausible futures exist that cannot be extrapolated from past
- 🆕 Climate change represents unprecedented shifts requiring forward-looking analysis
📊 Disclosure Questions
Q: When must D-SIBs start disclosing Scope 1 & 2 emissions?
Answer: Fiscal year-end 2024 |
- Implementation: FY-end 2024
- Disclosure deadline: 180 days after fiscal year-end
- Applies to: D-SIBs and IAIGs headquartered in Canada
Q: What are the 6 disclosure principles?
The 6 Disclosure Principles - RSCRAC |
1. Relevant 🎯
* Information specific to current/future climate impacts on the FRFI
2. Specific & Comprehensive 📋
* Detailed exposure and risk management information
3. Clear & Balanced 💡
* Understandable to range of users, appropriate mix of qualitative/quantitative
4. Reliable & Verifiable ✓
* High-quality, neutral, traceable information
5. Appropriate (Size) 📏
* Proportional to FRFI's size, nature, and complexity
6. Consistent 🔄
* Enable meaningful inter-period comparisons
Q: How should Category 15 emissions be reported?
⚠️ CRITICAL: Report Separately - Never Combine! |
Emission Type | Description | Implementation Date |
---|---|---|
Financed emissions | Loans and investments | 2028 |
AUM emissions | Assets under management • Breakdown by Scope 1, 2, 3 • Include $ amount of AUM • % of total AUM included |
2029 |
Insurance-associated emissions | P&C underwriting portfolios | 2028 |
Quick Reference Summary
Topic | Key Point | Remember |
---|---|---|
3 Outcomes | Business/Governance/Resilience | Foundation of guideline |
Risk Transmission | Climate → Traditional risks | Through multiple channels |
D-SIBs Timeline | FY 2024 + 180 days | Earlier implementation |
Disclosure Principles | RSCRAC (6 principles) | Guides quality disclosures |
Major Delays | 3-4 year delays | Scope 3, Financed, Industry metrics |
Common Pitfalls
⚠️ Avoid These Mistakes! |
- Confusing risk types - Physical ≠ Transition ≠ Liability
- Combining emissions - Keep financed/AUM/insurance separate
- Ignoring proportionality - Requirements scale with FRFI size
- Overlooking integration - Climate risk affects ALL risk types
Final Exam Strategy
High-Probability Topics:
- The 3 expected outcomes (conceptual foundation)
- Physical vs. Transition risks (with examples)
- The 5 governance principles
- The 6 disclosure principles
- Implementation timeline (especially delays)
- GHG emissions scopes and Category 15
- Climate Transition Plan requirements
Remember: This is OSFI's first climate-sensitive prudential framework - expect questions on WHY it's needed and HOW it differs from traditional risk management
POP QUIZ ANSWERS
Population growth, urban development and climate change